School: Iowa State
Year: Junior
Date of Birth: May 31, 2001
Drafted:
Team:

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

PREDATOR Score

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Low

• No major injuries reported. Missed zero games due to injury.

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Vision – Excellent at finding holes even while smothered in the backfield. Identifies cut lanes as they develop.
• Durability – This is huge for a running back. Had 800 touches in college without missing a game.
• Ball Security – Only 4 fumbles in his career (0.5% fumble rate).
• Athleticism – Tested extremely well at the Combine, which moved him up draft boards.

The Bad

• Play Speed – Doesn’t match testing speed. Initial burst is average until he hits his second gear.
• Physicality – Not overly physical for a running back of his size. Would like to see better leg drive when hit by defenders.
• Agility – Missing great stop/start ability in the backfield. Struggles to move laterally.
• Decisiveness – Shows a bit of hesitation before making decisions in the backfield, missing opportunities for additional yards.

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Breece Hall has seen a meteoric rise up draft boards since the NFL Combine. He came into the 2021 season as the projected #1 RB, but Iowa State’s mediocre record caused him to fade a bit into the background. Now his athletic testing results have vaulted him to “consensus #1” status once again. Hall has a great size/athleticism combo that will help him succeed in the NFL. He’s no stranger to a large volume of touches and has consistently put up some huge production numbers. He caught a fair amount of passes in college, but his routes are not among the elite receiving backs. He’s likely to see the field early and often in his career, but I don’t think he’s on the same level as guy’s like Jonathan Taylor. Please temper your expectations before crowning him a future Hall of Famer.

POST-DRAFT:

Player Comparison: DeMarco Murray

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Running Backs:
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

POST-DRAFT:

• Running Backs:
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

The post Breece Hall appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Texas A&M
Year: Junior
Date of Birth: August 9, 2001
Drafted:
Team:

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

PREDATOR Score

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Low

• Fractured toe (2020) – Missed part of 1 game, hindered during several games
• Bruised tailbone (2021) – Missed part of 1 game

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Jump Cuts – Has a lethal jump cut in his arsenal of moves to get through defenders and into open space.
• Blitz Identification – Locates his man in pass blocking situation and slides to meet him.
• Contact Balance – Low pad level allows him to bounce off contact. Rarely gets brought down by a single defender in the open field. Very physical running style.
• Lateral Agility – Shows innate ability to move laterally to get through holes and avoid defenders in the process.

The Bad

• Decisiveness – Needs to make a decision and go. Sits in the backfield too long on many occasions.
• Ball Security – Had 8 fumbles in his 3 seasons at Texas A&M.
• Passing Down Consistency – Show moments of brilliance in pass catching/blocking, but also has some real WTF moments.
• Athleticism – Really poor testing. Surprising given his film, but still something to keep in mind.

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Isaiah Spiller was highly recruited out of high school and showcased exceptional skills during his tenure at Texas A&M. Many assumed he was the easy RB1 in this class until he totally flopped at the Combine and his pro day. While athletic testing cannot be completely ignored, I think giving it too much weight is also a mistake. Spiller has a lot of great qualities that make him primed to be a starting running back in the NFL. His contact balance and jump cuts stand out on tape and should make him a desirable Day 2 NFL draft pick. If you are hesitant on drafting Spiller, I encourage you to watch some game film because it may change your mind. I feel comfortable placing him in the top tier of RBs.

POST-DRAFT:

Player Comparison: BenJarvus Green-Ellis

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Running Backs:
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

POST-DRAFT:

• Running Backs:
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

The post Isaiah Spiller appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Brigham Young
Year: Junior (RS)
Date of Birth: April 5, 2000
Drafted:
Team:

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

PREDATOR Score

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Low

• Undisclosed illness (2020) – Missed 1 game

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Vision – Elite in this category. Identifies holes quickly and finds running lanes with ease.
• Patience – Waits for blocks to develop as opposed to running full speed as soon as he touches the ball.
• Effort – Gives 100% on every play. Chased down a defender after a turnover and forced a fumble.
• Contact Balance – Physical back and can eat hits from defenders. Rarely knocked backwards.
• Durability – Only missed one game in college, which was due to illness not injury.

The Bad

• Pass Catching – Improved each year of college, but definitely not a dynamic threat in this area and only runs a basic route tree.
• Pass Blocking – Gives effort and identifies rushers, but needs work with mechanics.
• Elusiveness – Size prevents him from regularly juking defenders.

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Allgeier began his collegiate career as a running back, switched to linebacker, and then moved back to running back. His physicality is an asset and his size affords him great contact balance. His best traits are his vision and patience as a runner. You won’t see him take many negative plays because he always seems to find the hole. Allgeier is a great fit for a zone blocking scheme and has the ability to make one cut and go. He didn’t test great in the 40 at the Combine, but he does possess enough game speed to break away from defenders for long gains. He’ll need to prove his worth in the passing game if he desires a three-down role in the NFL, but he is one of my favorite sleepers in this class.

POST-DRAFT:

Player Comparison: James Conner

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Running Backs:
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

POST-DRAFT:

• Running Backs:
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

The post Tyler Allgeier appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Michigan State
Year: Junior
Date of Birth: October 20, 2000
Drafted:
Team:

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

PREDATOR Score

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Low

• COVID-19 opt out (2020) – Missed 2 games
• Ankle injury (2021) – Missed part of 1 game

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Footwork – Quick feet in tight spaces. Changes direction on a dime.
• Play Strength – Compact, low center of gravity. Runs through many arm tackles. Puts his head down and faces defenders head on.
• Acceleration – Hits holes with speed and can be gone in the blink of an eye.
• Ball Security – Only 2 fumbles in nearly 500 career touches. Had the longest streak in country for carries without a fumble.
• Longevity – Only 1 season with a full body of work means he still has a lot of tread on the tires.

The Bad

• Lack of Pass Catching – Was not used as a pass catcher in college (19 career receptions). Not seen as a threat in this regard.
• Pass Blocking – Sometimes lacks effort or shows intentions much too early. Can fail to get square.
• Discipline – Can get caught trying to improvise when it isn’t necessary.

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Walker began his career at Wake Forest due to lack of scholarship offers. After 2 seasons there, he felt as though he was unable to realize his full potential and transferred to Michigan State. The move proved to be the correct decision as he was a Heisman finalist and won the Doak Walker Award for best RB in the country. Walker is an electric runner with a fantastic combination of power, speed, and agility. He may fall a bit in the NFL Draft due to lack of experience catching the ball, but he does possess the skills to add that to his repertoire in the NFL. I would not be surprised if he has the best rookie season of any of this year’s running backs.

POST-DRAFT:

Player Comparison: LeSean McCoy

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Running Backs:
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

POST-DRAFT:

• Running Backs:
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

The post Kenneth Walker III appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Liberty
Year: Senior (RS)
Date of Birth: May 25, 1999
Drafted: 
Team: 

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

PREDATOR Score

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Low

• Foot injury (2021) – No games missed

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Rushing Ability – Over 1800 yards rushing and 27 TDs in 2 years as the starter at Liberty. Elusive in the open field. Extremely athletic.
• Arm Strength – Has a cannon for a right arm. Can throw to any part of the field with ease.
• Blitz Recognition – Played with a horrendous offensive line in college and was forced to develop a sixth sense to avoid additional sacks.
• Vision – This applies to both running and passing. Scans the field well to find open running lanes or receivers.

The Bad

• Accuracy – Extremely inconsistent. Makes some incredible throws in tight spaces, but then misses easy ones.
• Touch Passes – Throws everything like a fast ball. Causes him to throw inaccurate screen passes.
• Ball Placement – Forces receivers to make catches outside their frame. Less talented receivers won’t make these catches.
• Decision Making – Overly confident in his ability to complete passes and ends up forcing throws that get intercepted.

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Willis originally committed to play football at Auburn but transferred to Liberty after two years. He played against lesser competition, but was able to showcase what makes him special as a quarterback. Of the QBs in this year’s class, he likely has the largest gap between floor and ceiling at the NFL level. His best two traits, rushing ability and arm strength, are ones that cannot be taught to quarterbacks. The cannon he has for an arm combined with speed and athleticism could make him deadly in the NFL. He’s a raw product now and will require coaching and a system that will cater to his abilities. If he can improve on his accuracy and touch as a passer, he’ll easily be the best QB of this crop. In a class that is below average in terms of talent, I’m going with the highest upside pick as my top ranked QB.

POST-DRAFT:

Player Comparison: Jalen Hurts

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Quarterbacks: 1
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

POST-DRAFT:

• Quarterbacks:
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

The post Malik Willis appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Nevada
Year: Junior (RS)
Date of Birth: September 14, 1999
Drafted: 
Team: 

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

PREDATOR Score

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

High

• Significant knee injury, osteochondritis dissecans lesion w/surgery (2016) – Missed senior year of high school
• Surgery for knee cartilage cleanup (2020)
• Arthroscopic procedure to clear scar tissue (2021)
• Multiple knee fluid drains (2021)

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Arm Talent – Solid arm strength with ability to make downfield throws with velocity. Can adjust and put touch on passes as needed.
• Ball Placement – Keeps receivers out of precarious situations, helping them avoid big hits and allowing them to gain YAC.
• Pocket Movement – Recognizes when to step up or slide to his left or right in the pocket.
• Mechanics – Above average mechanics for a prototypical pocket passer.

The Bad

• Durability/Injury History – Multiple surgeries on his right knee, all of which appear to be related to the same issue.
• Mobility – May be related to injury history. Zero threat as a runner. Negative rushing yards during collegiate career.
• Progressions – Struggles if first read isn’t open. Will focus on pre-snap read too long and miss other open targets.
• Blitz Recognition – Dealt mostly with 3-man fronts in college and rarely had to deal with constant pressure from defenses. Struggles to identify extra rushers.

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Carson Strong has one of the best arms in this year’s draft class. He can launch the ball deep with precision and find receivers in tight windows. He played in an air raid style offense so he can clearly throw deep. However, there are two major red flags working against him: injury history and athleticism. When a player has had 4+ surgeries/procedures on the same knee, that’s likely to scare anyone. Strong has been dealing with residual effects from an injury he suffered over 5 years ago which doesn’t instill much confidence in his ability to stay off the injury report in the NFL. As a result of his injuries, Strong’s mobility and athleticism are nonexistent. He will need a good offensive line in the NFL to have any sort of chance at success since he is unable to extend plays with his legs. While I do like his arm talent, the injuries pretty much remove him from my draft board.

POST-DRAFT:

Player Comparison: Christian Hackenberg

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Quarterbacks:
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

POST-DRAFT:

• Quarterbacks:
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

The post Carson Strong appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: North Carolina
Year: Junior
Date of Birth: September 16, 2000
Drafted: 
Team: 

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

PREDATOR Score

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Low

• Shoulder injury (2021) – Missed 1 game

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Slippery – Uncanny ability to escape defenders in the pocket and turn sacks into positive yardage.
• Progressions – Works through his progressions well to find the best read, even if that is the third or fourth option. Doesn’t overly fixate on one target.
• Arm Strength – Strong enough to throw into tight windows and stretch the field.
• Awareness – Knows when to take off running and/or step up in the pocket.

The Bad

• Release Time – Has a tendency to pat the ball prior to winding up to throw.
• Placement – Forces receivers to do too much with high throws, limiting YAC.
• Deep Balls – Doesn’t get enough air under the throws, allowing them to be undercut by safeties.
• Frame – Somewhat limited by size

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT:
Howell was a three-year starter at North Carolina and was expected to be one of the top QBs coming into this past season. As UNC sputtered during the 2021 season, the hype on Howell faded. However, he’s still likely to be one of the first QBs off the board come draft time. Howell possesses a lot of the intangibles that can’t be taught to quarterbacks (i.e. leadership skills), but lacks a bit in his mechanics. The ball pat on the throw windup not only slows him down, but it’s a dead giveaway to defenses. The fact that he showcased his running ability in 2021 (828 rushing yards vs. 146 in 2020) will be intriguing to some GMs, but I think he is still a bit of a project in terms of being ready to compete in the NFL. He needs coaching and development work and I don’t think his ceiling is as high as many people previously thought.

POST-DRAFT:

Player Comparison: Colt McCoy

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Quarterbacks:
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

POST-DRAFT:

• Quarterbacks:
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

The post Sam Howell appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Pittsburgh
Year: Senior (RS)
Date of Birth: June 6, 1998
Drafted: 
Team: 

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

PREDATOR Score

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Low

• Shoulder injury (2019) – Missed 1 game
• Left ankle injury (2020) – Missed 2 games
• Undisclosed injury (2021) – No games missed

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Experience – Four years of starting experience and took a huge step forward in production in 2021.
• Arm Strength – Can make downfield throws. Enough velocity to beat coverage.
• Throws on the Run – Possesses ability to roll to his right and make off balance throws.
• Blitz Reads – Identifies blitzes and is able to evade rushers in the backfield to avoid sacks.

The Bad

• Hand Size – It has to be mentioned. The 8.5″ measurement is one of the smallest ever. For reference, Ryan Tannehill has the smallest hands of any current NFL starter at 9″.
• Ball Security – Fumbled 26 times in college, potentially due to the small hands.
• Poise – Has a tendency to get “happy feet” and dance around, even with a clean pocket.
• Overly Aggressive – Chooses to throw 50/50 balls far too often which results in unnecessary interceptions.

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT:
Kenny Pickett had the opportunity to leave for the NFL after the 2020 season, but decided to return to Pitt for another year. This ended up being a great decision as he eventually became a Heisman finalist and has likely worked himself into a first round pick. Of this year’s group of quarterbacks, Pickett is likely the most “pro ready” due to his years of starting experience playing in a scheme that forced him to work through progressions. He’s not a “scrambler” but he’s also not afraid to make things happen with his feet if needed. He has the ability to be a starting quarterback in the NFL, but definitely temper your expectations.

POST-DRAFT:

Player Comparison: Derek Carr

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Quarterbacks:
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

POST-DRAFT:

• Quarterbacks:
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

The post Kenny Pickett appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Cincinnati
Year: Senior (RS)
Date of Birth: August 31, 1999
Drafted: 
Team: 

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

PREDATOR Score

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Low

• Ankle injury (2018) – Left bowl game in first half
• Right shoulder injury (2019) – Missed 1 game

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Athleticism – Tested incredibly well at the NFL Combine. Over 2000 career rushing yards.
• Experience – Four year starter. Battle tested and has played in the CFB playoff.
• Size – Prototypical size for starting quarterback. Above average for this year’s class.
• Arm Strength – Showcases ability to launch the ball downfield and from hashmark to the sideline.

The Bad

• Pocket Awareness – Struggles to sense when the pocket is collapsing or when he is about to be blindsided.
• Accuracy/Placement – Puts his receivers in tough spots where they have to make acrobatic catches or are unable to make catches in stride.
• Release – An area of improvement year over year, but still a bit slow getting the ball out.
• Throws on the Run – Accuracy plummets when he is on the run outside the pocket. Doesn’t get squared to receiver and can miss open targets.

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Ridder is another quarterback that seriously elevated his draft stock by returning to school for his senior year. He threw for almost 1k more yards and 10 more TDs than he had in any previous season, while piloting Cincinnati to an undefeated season and appearance in the college football playoff. Ridder’s size and athleticism give him the perfect quarterback build. Even though his athleticism is top-notch, he is still a “pass-first” QB who looks to stay in the pocket. He has the necessary arm strength to succeed in the NFL, but has some accuracy and ball placement issues that he will have to work on. His release time causes batted passes as linemen are able to anticipate the throw. He’ll likely be a first round pick, but needs some development time to really be effective at the next level.

POST-DRAFT:

Player Comparison: Marcus Mariota

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Quarterbacks:
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

POST-DRAFT:

• Quarterbacks:
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

The post Desmond Ridder appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Mississippi
Year: Junior (RS)
Date of Birth: January 31, 1999
Drafted: 
Team: 

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

PREDATOR Score

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Low

• Rib injury (2019) – Missed 2 games
• Minor ankle sprains x2 (2021) – No games missed

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Decisiveness – Makes quick decisions after the snap. Not always the correct one, but you won’t find him caught trying to figure out what to do.
• Mobility – Over 1k career rushing yards, including multiple 100-yard games.
• Short & Intermediate Accuracy – Able to zip accurate throws to hit receivers in stride on slants and crossing routes over the middle.
• Competitiveness – Shows competitive drive and emotion on the field. Won’t back down in tough situations.

The Bad

• Deep Ball – Needs some work on timing and accuracy. Sometimes the ball gets out a little late, many times overthrown.
• Size – Relatively small for the position, though that has become less of a factor in the NFL in recent years.
• Protection – Allows himself to take big hits when scrambling. Needs to learn to slide because this will lead to injuries in the NFL.
• Ball Security – Has tendency to fumble when hit in the pocket or scrambling. Fumbled 6 times in 2021 and 14 times during his collegiate career.

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT:
Corral is one of the most competitive quarterbacks from this year’s draft class. He wears his heart on his sleeve and showcases great leadership skills on the field. He had a high completion percentage in college, but played in a very RPO-heavy offense which likely contributed to that. Corral’s arm talent is good enough to succeed in the NFL, but he will need to improve his timing and accuracy. He’s not Michael Vick on the field, but is elusive/mobile enough that NFL defenses will have to factor it into their game plans. Even if he is not an immediate starter when drafted, I think his competitive drive will get him there eventually.

POST-DRAFT:

Player Comparison: Baker Mayfield

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Quarterbacks:
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

POST-DRAFT:

• Quarterbacks:
• Overall (1QB):
• Overall (2QB):

The post Matt Corral appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Missouri
Year: Senior (RS)
Date of Birth: 09/25/1996
Drafted: Undrafted
Team: N/A

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

PREDATOR Score

N/A

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Moderate

• Concussion (2017)
• Sprained ankle (2017)
• Left leg injury (2018)
• Sprained knee (2019)
• Strained hamstring (2019)

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Accurate on short and intermediate passes
• Above average runner
• Good footwork
• Looks good on bootlegs since he has a little more time to process the play

The Bad

• Slow release with little zip on the ball, underthrows a lot of passes
• Locks onto first read
• Struggles to process quickly
• Poor vision

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Bryant has decent size with the ability to run pretty well.  Aside from that, he is really lacking in the skills to make him an NFL quarterback.  Some NFL team may take a look at him due to his legs, but he will never be a full-time contributor unless he has vast improvement in many areas.  Fantasy irrelevant.

POST-DRAFT: Bryant has not been signed by any team as of this entry. You can avoid adding him to even the deepest of rosters.

Player Comparison: Jacoby Brissett

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 19.0
• Analyst QB: 17

POST-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: NR
• Analyst QB: NR

NFL Profile

The post Kelly Bryant appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Princeton
Year: Senior
Date of Birth: 08/01/1997
Drafted: Undrafted
Team: Cleveland Browns

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

*Numbers from pro day

PREDATOR Score

N/A

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Low

• No major injuries reported

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Prototypical height for a pocket passer
• Decent athleticism
• Can go through progressions and make throws while on the run

The Bad

• Not a lot of zip for a bigger QB
• Struggles reading defenses while in pocket
• Poor pocket awareness
• Very small hands (8.25”)

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Davidson was added for review due to his inclusion in the NFL Combine.  He played at Princeton for one season and didn’t dominate. Add that to his small hands and slow processing, I think he is someone that you can forget about.

POST-DRAFT: Davidson was signed by Cleveland as an undrafted free agent. The Browns have Baker Mayfield as their starter and just signed Case Keenum to a three year deal.  That pretty much rules out Davidson from being any sort of contributor in fantasy football or the NFL this season.

Player Comparison: Alex Tanney

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 19.5
• Analyst QB: 21

POST-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: NR
• Analyst QB: NR

NFL Profile

The post Kevin Davidson appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Michigan
Year: Senior
Date of Birth: 01/17/1997
Drafted: Undrafted
Team: Kansas City Chiefs

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

PREDATOR Score

N/A

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Moderate

• Torn PCL (2017)
• Oblique injury (2019)

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Fast release
• Decent runner that can make accurate passes while on the run
• Without pressure can make strong, accurate passes
• Accurate on 1-step drop, quick passes

The Bad

• Lack of pocket awareness, takes a lot of sacks
• Struggles with footwork
• Major accuracy issues
• Seems to be a smart and savvy player, but isn’t able to process quickly
• Pressure affects him greatly

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Patterson looks the part.  He is a solid athlete with a fast release.  He makes accurate passes when there is no pressure.  Once there is any semblance of pressure, it all goes downhill.  His struggles with processing on the fly prevents him from being a very good NFL prospect.  His ceiling looks to be a backup quarterback, but that may be years away from now. Someone to keep an eye on (especially if he ends up drafted), but as of now he isn’t on my radar.

POST-DRAFT: Patterson was signed by the Chiefs as an undrafted free agent. He looks to be fourth in line right now and may just be an arm for camp. He does have some tools, so maybe they will decide to add him to their practice squad. Regardless, he isn’t someone you need to be adding to any of your rosters.

Player Comparison: Case Keenum

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 16.0
• Analyst QB: 16

POST-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: NR
• Analyst QB: NR

NFL Profile

The post Shea Patterson appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Arizona
Year: Senior
Date of Birth: 10/23/1998
Drafted: Undrafted
Team: Philadelphia Eagles

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

*Numbers from pro day

PREDATOR Score

N/A

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Low

• Hamstring injury (2019)

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Strong arm
• Solid runner, good in RPO
• Comfortable outside of pocket
• Looks off defense when given protection

The Bad

• Poor footwork which causes accuracy issues
• Runs immediately after feeling any sort of pressure
• Lack of awareness is an issue, takes sacks when he can easily throw away the ball

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Tate looked very comfortable in the offense under Rich Rodriguez, but once Kevin Sumlin took over in 2019 and took away most of his rushing, he never performed close to before.  Tate struggles with accuracy and mechanics, but is a very good runner. He is another one of these mobile quarterbacks that seem to be the rage in the NFL. He may get picked up as a UDFA with the opportunity to make a practice squad.  As of now, fantasy irrelevant.

POST-DRAFT: Tate was signed as an undrafted free agent by Philadelphia.  The Eagles have at least five quarterbacks right now including Carson Wentz and second round pick Jalen Hurts.  That is a pretty big roadblock to any fantasy relevance in the near future.  There have been some talks of him moving to receiver, so he may have an opportunity at some point, but probably not at quarterback. 

Player Comparison: Denard Robinson

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 15.0
• Analyst QB: 15

POST-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: NR
• Analyst QB: NR

NFL Profile

The post Khalil Tate appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Michigan State
Year: Senior (RS)
Date of Birth: 10/24/1996
Drafted: Undrafted
Team: New England Patriots

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

*Numbers from pro day

PREDATOR Score

N/A

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Low

• No major injuries reported

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Above average arm
• Decent athleticism with the ability to scramble
• Reads zone pretty well and can drop the ball behind defenders

The Bad

• Mechanics are spotty which causes inconsistent accuracy, especially on the run
• Starts to dance when feeling pressure. Sometimes jumps to pass when unnecessary
• Slow to process defenses and his reads
• Even when there is little pressure, he can miss wide open receivers 15 yards away

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Lewerke is a player that shows signs of above-average play, but he is wildly inconsistent.  He often misses wide open receivers and if there is any pressure, many of his passes end up short.  One thing that plagued him at Michigan State is the lack of quality pass catchers. There were many notable drops in every game that was watched.  Lewerke is a player that I don’t expect to make it to the next level and can comfortably say that you can pass on adding him to any roster.

POST-DRAFT: Signed by the Patriots as an undrafted free agent, Lewerke will be battling to make the practice squad with another UDFA. If he can become more consistent while playing with more capable receivers, there is a chance he could develop as a quarterback.  That won’t be anytime soon, so steer clear for now.

Player Comparison: Blaine Gabbert

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 15.0
• Analyst QB: 18

POST-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 15.8
• Analyst QB: NR

NFL Profile

The post Brian Lewerke appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Colorado
Year: Senior (RS)
Date of Birth: 01/14/1997
Drafted: Undrafted
Team: Washington Football Team

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

PREDATOR Score

N/A

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Low

• No major injuries reported

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Good zip and accuracy on intermediate and deep routes
• Able to move around pocket to find throwing windows
• Checks down/goes through reads when given protection
• Throws ball away before taking loss of yards
• Bootlegs seem to make him more comfortable and can run when lanes open up

The Bad

• Footwork needs some work
• Locks onto first read far too often
• Fades away from pressure when making throws
• Processing of plays takes too much time which forces poor decisions

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Montez looks the part, but the game seems to be too fast for him.  If he can’t slow things down mentally, he will not be able to provide any value to an NFL team.  Aside from that, there are a lot of issues with mechanics which leads me to avoid him in all types of fantasy leagues.

POST-DRAFT: Montez was signed by Washington as an undrafted free agent.  He is their third quarterback at the moment, behind Dwayne Haskins and recently acquired Kyle Allen. It doesn’t look like he will be able to become the backup this season, so he is an avoid at this point in time.

Player Comparison: Mark Brunell

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 14.3
• Analyst QB: 19

POST-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 15.5
• Analyst QB: NR

NFL Profile

The post Steven Montez appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Vanderbilt
Year: Senior (RS)
Date of Birth: 10/02/1996
Drafted: Undrafted
Team: Denver Broncos

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

*Numbers from pro day

PREDATOR Score

N/A

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

High

• Knee injury (2016)
• Shoulder surgery (2017)
• Tibial plateau fracture (2017)
• Knee injury (2018)
• Concussion (2019)

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Tall with strong arm
• Good accuracy on short and intermediate passes
• Able to scramble well for his size
• Location of passes is good, he takes the leverage of defender into account
• Comfortable in pocket, shows poise by looking downfield while pressured

The Bad

• Lacks accuracy and touch on deep passes
• At times, locks onto first read
• Pressure through the middle causes him some issues with processing the play
• Seems to shy away from making some deep throws, lacks aggressiveness in that regard

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: At Ball St., Neal looked like an NFL quarterback and on his way to being drafted.  He transferred to Vanderbilt and struggled when given the opportunity to play. He is above-average on his short and intermediate passes, which makes me think that he would fit best in a West Coast type offense.  His lack of aggressiveness on deeper passes is something that may be able to be corrected, in time. Based on his play at Ball St., he is an intriguing player that I want to keep an eye on. Draft-time is going to be very important for him.  If drafted, Neal is a player that I will be grabbing with late round picks in my Superflex leagues. If he is a UDFA, he is someone to pay attention to over the course of the next year.

POST-DRAFT: Neal was signed by Denver as an undrafted free agent. He has Drew Lock, Jeff Driskel, and Brett Rypien in front of him in the pecking order.  Neither of the two backups in front of him have big contracts or skills that prevent him from overtaking them.  He is someone to keep an eye on during camp to see if it looks like he is doing well. If so, add him to your taxi squad in deeper superflex leagues.

Player Comparison: Matt Ryan

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 12.0
• Analyst QB: 9

POST-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 15.3
• Analyst QB: 13

NFL Profile

The post Riley Neal appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Florida International
Year: Senior (RS)
Date of Birth: 02/12/1998
Drafted: Round 4, Pick 19 (125)
Team: New York Jets

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

PREDATOR Score

0.166 (7th among 2020 QBs)

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Low

• Arm injury (2018)
• Knee injury (2019)

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Good size 6’4” 229lbs, tough to tackle due to size
• Comfortable in pocket
• Cannon arm
• Good accuracy without pressure
• Able to drop passes over defender

The Bad

• Slow runner
• Throws off back foot a lot
• Lack of accuracy on deep passes
• Accuracy is affected by pressure
• At times, rips the ball when he should be putting touch on the pass

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Morgan is the old-school prototypical quarterback.  He lacks any sort of mobility, has good size and a cannon arm.  His poor deep accuracy reminds me of Josh Allen a bit, since he overthrows a lot of receivers. When he tries to tone it down, he can underthrow the deep pass and the receiver has to wait for it.  That is something he will definitely have to correct to become an effective quarterback in the NFL. Some team will really like his tools and I can see him being taken late in the draft. He is someone I am going to be paying attention to, but I don’t have any expectations for him in 2020.  Late round flier in Superflex leagues.

POST-DRAFT: Morgan was drafted by the Jets in the fourth round.  This is higher than expected, but he has a clear roadblock in front of him in Sam Darnold. He is definitely a project and will probably end up being the Jets third quarterback this season, but has the chance to turn into a promising backup. He is worth adding to your taxi squads in superflex leagues.

Player Comparison: Joe Flacco

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): 49.4
• Consensus Overall (SF): 43.0
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 8.4
• Analyst QB: 8

POST-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): 47.0
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 9.3
• Analyst QB: 8

NFL Profile

The post James Morgan appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Hawaii
Year: Junior (RS)
Date of Birth: 05/20/1998
Drafted: Round 7, Pick 10 (224)
Team: Tennessee Titans

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

PREDATOR Score

0.047 (9th among 2020 QBs)

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Low

• Strained MCL (2018)
• Internal bleeding into scrotum (2018)

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Can run, but isn’t elusive
• When given time, will go through progressions
• Poised and patient in pocket
• Decent accuracy on short and intermediate passes

The Bad

• Very long arm motion slows his release time
• Weak arm
• Overly aggressive throwing into double coverage
• Overthrows open receivers at times

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: McDonald has good size and the ability to run a bit.  He is an aggressive YOLO quarterback that will throw into tight coverage. His “Kareem Abdul-Jabbar hook shot” release and lack of arm-strength limit his upside.  McDonald is someone I am not looking to add at this time. He is fantasy irrelevant unless someone unexpectedly drafts him.

POST-DRAFT: McDonald was drafted by the Titans in the seventh round.  McDonald will be battling with Logan Woodside for the backup role, so it is possible he ends up winning that competition.  If that is the case, he will be backing up a quarterback that has had his fair share of injuries and runs with the ball quite a bit.  If you are looking to add a late round rookie quarterback that may have the chance to hit like Garner Minshew in 2019, McDonald is the best bet.  He is an add in deeper superflex leagues and a pass in 1QB.

Player Comparison: Ryan Fitzpatrick

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 11.3
• Analyst QB: 10

POST-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 11.5
• Analyst QB: 9

NFL Profile

The post Cole McDonald appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Georgia
Year: Junior
Date of Birth: 07/30/1998
Drafted: Round 5, Pick 22 (167)
Team: Buffalo Bills

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

PREDATOR Score

0.168 (6th among 2020 QBs)

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Low

• Left hand fracture (2018)
• Left ankle sprain (2019)

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Nice footwork and mechanics
• Can make all throws with accuracy on short and intermediate passes
• Poised in the pocket, goes through progressions, handles pressure well
• Good pocket awareness, will tuck the ball and run if needed
• Good at reading defense and making adjustments

The Bad

• Average arm causes inconsistency on deep passes
• Mechanics fail him at times causing passes to fall short of receiver
• Struggles to fit passes into tight windows
• Gets lazy with footwork at times
• Struggles with speed rushers due to his lack of agility
• Before throwing some passes, he spins ball end over end multiple times which may lead to fumbles

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Fromm has the smarts and savvy to be a starting quarterback in the NFL, but his average arm and lack of athleticism will limit his upside.  Expect him to sit behind a veteran quarterback for a year. If he ends up in an offense that is able to utilize his strengths with short and intermediate passes, he has a chance to be fantasy relevant.  Without knowing which team he is on, he is a pass in 1QB and a mid to late 2nd in Superflex.

POST-DRAFT: Fromm was drafted by the Bills in the fifth round.  He has some quality competition for the backup role in Matt Barkley and Davis Webb, which makes it most likely that he will end up being the third-string quarterback in Buffalo.  His lack of arm strength and smaller hands make for an interesting pairing with the Buffalo weather.  If he is able to overcome those challenges, he may develop into a quality backup.  He is someone to keep an eye on, but isn’t very likely to have fantasy relevance in 2020.

Player Comparison: Jimmy Garoppolo

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): 49.8
• Consensus Overall (SF): 30.2
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): 36.0
• Consensus QB: 6.6
• Analyst QB: 6

POST-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): 45.3
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): 46.0
• Consensus QB: 7.5
• Analyst QB: 7

NFL Profile

The post Jake Fromm appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Washington State
Year: Senior (RS)
Date of Birth: 08/28/1996
Drafted: Undrafted
Team: Seattle Seahawks

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

PREDATOR Score

N/A

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Low

• No major injuries reported

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Accurate passer with good timing on his passes
• Good awareness to throw ball away rather than lose yards
• Able to hit most throws
• Able to scramble if needed

The Bad

• Locks onto receivers at times
• Slaps ball before passes which gives defensive linemen tell for when to jump causing many batted passes
• Gets nervous in pocket with light pressure
• Below average arm
• Has to be set to throw, very inaccurate on the run

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Many compare Gordon to his predecessor, Gardner Minshew, but I don’t see it.  Gordon doesn’t have the grit, accuracy, pocket presence or mechanics of Minshew. That being said, he could be a project that a team may take a chance on due to his statistics.  I don’t see his ceiling being anything more than a below average backup in the league, so I will not be adding him to any roster this season unless some NFL team shocks me and drafts him within the first three rounds.

POST-DRAFT: Gordon was signed by the Seahawks as an undrafted free agent. He couldn’t have fallen into a better situation, since there are no other quarterbacks on the roster.  I expect Seattle to add a veteran backup and try to develop Gordon on the practice squad.  He may be worth adding to your superflex rosters during the offseason if you have an open spot. If he holds on to the backup role, he is worth keeping on your taxi squad.

Player Comparison: Graham Harrell

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): 50.2
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 10.0
• Analyst QB: 12

POST-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 13.0
• Analyst QB: 11

NFL Profile

The post Anthony Gordon appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Oregon State
Year: Senior (RS)
Date of Birth: 04/11/1996
Drafted: Round 6, Pick 10 (189)
Team: Jacksonville Jaguars

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

* Numbers from pro day

PREDATOR Score

0.024 (11th among 2020 QBs)

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Moderate

• Thoracic spine fracture (2017)
• Sprained ankle (2018)
• Forearm injury (2019)

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Good footwork
• Decent runner for size
• Decent touch on some deep passes

The Bad

• Questionable accuracy
• For being 6’6”, he has a lot of passes tipped
• Lack of velocity on passes
• Very stiff as a passer

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Luton has old school prototypical size and can scramble pretty well for a 6’6” quarterback.  Nothing else impresses me. He has a hard time passing on the run, lacks velocity, and isn’t very accurate on his passes.  At best, he is a project and I would be surprised if he was anything other than a 7th round pick or UDFA. Fantasy irrelevant.

POST-DRAFT: Luton was drafted by Jacksonville in the sixth round of the NFL Draft.  He looks to be a developmental prospect, but if he can beat out Joshua Dobbs as the backup, he will be in a pretty solid situation. Gardner Minshew looks to be an adequate starter, but if he were to struggle there may be an opportunity for the backup.  Keep an eye on the Jaguars during camp and if Luton takes the backup role, he may be worth adding to a taxi squad in a superflex league.

Player Comparison: Brock Osweiler

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 18.5
• Analyst QB: 20

POST-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 13.3
• Analyst QB: 12

NFL Profile

The post Jake Luton appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Iowa
Year: Senior
Date of Birth: 08/29/1997
Drafted: Round 7, Pick 30 (244)
Team: Minnesota Vikings

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

PREDATOR Score

0.026 (10th among 2020 QBs)

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Low

• Minor right thumb injury (2018)

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Good size, strong-armed pocket passer
• Quick Release
• Nice footwork and balance
• Accurate on intermediate and deep passes
• Good on short yardage QB sneaks

The Bad

• Loses accuracy when he tries to rip it
• Locks onto first read far too often
• Lacks accuracy on short passes
• Not very mobile, which causes him to get sacked a fair amount

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Stanley is a traditional big, strong pocket passer.  His accuracy on intermediate and deep routes, is impressive. Where he falls short is his accuracy on shorter passes.  The ability to make short passes is a necessity to be a starter in the NFL. It also didn’t appear that Stanley improved much from 2018 to 2019.  His ceiling looks to be a backup that a coach can feel comfortable with some spot-start duty. Stanley isn’t a player that should be added to any rosters at draft time.

POST-DRAFT: Stanley was drafted by the Vikings in the seventh round. He will be competing with Sean Mannion for the backup role and looks to be destined for the practice squad.  Another one of these late draft picks that may be worth adding to a taxi squad in superflex leagues.

Player Comparison: Ben Roethlisberger

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 13.3
• Analyst QB: 11

POST-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 13.8
• Analyst QB: 10

NFL Profile

The post Nate Stanley appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Mississippi State
Year: Senior (RS)
Date of Birth: 12/15/1996
Drafted: Round 7, Pick 26 (240)
Team: New Orleans Saints

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

*Numbers from pro day

PREDATOR Score

0.013 (13th among 2020 QBs)

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Moderate

• Foot surgery (2018)
• High ankle sprain (2019)
• Broken rib (2019)
• Punctured lung (2019)
• Separated shoulder (2019)

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Good, elusive runner
• Able receiver
• Capable of running the Run-Pass Option
• Decent zip and location on short and intermediate passes
• Good athleticism 
• Able to throw on run
• Can contort body to be able to throw around defender

The Bad

• Long release
• More of a gadget player, than a quarterback

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Not scouted prior to NFL Draft.

POST-DRAFT: Stevens is almost a clone of Taysom Hill, but looks to be a better passer. He will be able to learn the trade directly from Hill now that he was drafted by the Saints. If anyone knows how to use two “Swiss Army Knives”, it will be Sean Payton. It doesn’t look like Stevens will have much opportunity in 2020 and will probably end up being considered something other than a quarterback in fantasy football. Pass for now.

Player Comparison: Taysom Hill

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: NR
• Analyst QB: NR

POST-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 14.5
• Analyst QB: NR

NFL Profile

The post Tommy Stevens appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Virginia
Year: Senior (RS)
Date of Birth: 12/20/1996
Drafted: Undrafted
Team: Los Angeles Rams

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

*Numbers from pro day

PREDATOR Score

N/A

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Moderate

• Two broken vertebrae in neck (2016)

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Fast, shifty, and patient runner
• Nice high release
• Comfortable in pocket, looks downfield even with moderate pressure
• Solid passer on the run

The Bad

• Long release with little zip on passes
• If contained in pocket, he appears uncomfortable and limited
• Makes some poor decisions by throwing into coverage rather than throwing the ball away

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Perkins is a good college quarterback, but doesn’t look to have the arm-strength to make it in the NFL.  He will need to really work on his footwork and become more comfortable in the pocket to have any chance. That is quite the task at this point, so I will pass.  Fantasy irrelevant.

POST-DRAFT: Perkins was signed by the Rams as an undrafted free agent. It looks to be a pretty weak quarterback room with Jared Goff and three UDFAs.  Perkins has a shot of beating the other two players, but I would expect the Rams to add a veteran backup at some point this offseason.  Pay attention to what the Rams do and if Perkins ends up the backup, he may be worth throwing on a taxi squad in superflex leagues with deeper rosters.

Player Comparison: Devin Gardner

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 12.0
• Analyst QB: 14

POST-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 15.0
• Analyst QB: NR

NFL Profile

The post Bryce Perkins appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: Utah
Year: Senior
Date of Birth: 02/03/1998
Drafted: Undrafted
Team: Baltimore Ravens

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

*Numbers from pro day

PREDATOR Score

N/A

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Moderate

• Right shoulder injury (2017)
• Broken left collarbone (2018)
• Right leg injury (2019)

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Good athleticism and open field runner
• Improved from 2018 to 2019 on his comfort in pocket, intermediate passes, and reading defenses

The Bad

• Poor mechanics and footwork
• On quick throws, he often misreads and throws right at DB
• Many passes are short of target
• On deep passes, he often locks onto receiver which gives safety plenty of time to react
• Eyes immediately drop at any sort of pressure

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Huntley looks to be the type of quarterback that more teams are looking to add to their roster.  He has adequate skills for the position and is very mobile. I don’t see him starting early in his career (or maybe ever), but can see him being the 3rd quarterback that can run a few plays a la Taysom Hill. More likely, he is someone that will be added to the practice squad to hone his skills.

POST-DRAFT: Huntley signed with the Baltimore Ravens as an undrafted free agent.  As an above average runner, he fits the mold of each quarterback on the Ravens roster.  He has the skills to overtake Trace McSorely as the third quarterback on the roster, but isn’t worth being on a fantasy roster at this point.

Player Comparison: Marcus Mariota

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 10.5
• Analyst QB: 13

POST-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 14.3
• Analyst QB: 14

NFL Profile

The post Tyler Huntley appeared first on Dynasty 101.

School: James Madison
Year: Senior (RS)
Date of Birth: 11/24/1996
Drafted: Round 7, Pick 17 (231)
Team: Dallas Cowboys

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

*Numbers from pro day

PREDATOR Score

0.016 (12th among 2020 QBs)

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.

Injury Risk

Low

• No major injuries reported

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.

Player Analysis

The Good

• Good, elusive runner
• Capable of running the Run-Pass Option
• Has some swagger while playing
• Good touch on deep passes

The Bad

• Not a very strong arm
• Makes some poor decisions while being unnecessarily aggressive

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Not scouted prior to NFL Draft.

POST-DRAFT: DiNucci is a developmental quarterback that could battle for backup duties with the Cowboys, but it is more likely that he ends up on their practice squad for 2020.  With that being the case, he isn’t fantasy relevant for the time being, so save a roster spot and look for someone else.

Player Comparison: Gardner Minshew

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: NR
• Analyst QB: NR

POST-DRAFT:

• Consensus Overall (1QB): NR
• Consensus Overall (SF): NR
• Consensus Overall (NPLB): NR
• Consensus QB: 15.0
• Analyst QB: NR

NFL Profile

The post Ben DiNucci appeared first on Dynasty 101.

I now knew what problem I wanted to solve, but had no idea how to get there. I spent many hours searching Google, reading articles, and watching YouTube tutorial videos on statistical analysis. The method I settled on was to conduct a binary logistic regression for each of the offensive skill positions.

Methodology

I began by making a list of all players drafted (and any significant undrafted free agents) at each position over the past 10 years (15 years for QB/TE due to fewer prospects). I then compiled a list of every measurable, metric, and statistic I could think of for each player. I ended up with 20-25 different variables for each position. Each player was then given a score of “1” (successful) or “0” (unsuccessful), hence the binary nature of the regression.

I ran the regression for each position and eliminated the least statistically significant variable (using p-values). I repeated this process until I was left only with variables that were statistically significant in predicting the future success of players at the position. Thus was born the PREDictive Analysis and Testing Of Rookies, or PREDATOR Score.

Defining Success

Success is defined differently depending on the position. The details are as follows (assumed PPR scoring):

• Quarterback – Player achieved at least one QB1 (top 12) fantasy season during his NFL career.
• Running back – Player achieved at least one RB1 (top 12) fantasy season during his first three NFL seasons.
• Wide receiver – Player achieved at least one WR2 (top 24) fantasy season during his first three NFL seasons.
• Tight end – Player achieved at least one TE1 (top 12) fantasy season during his NFL career.

Results

After conducting the binary logistic regression to completion, the statistically significant variables by position are as follows (listed from most significant to least):

• Quarterback
  • Draft position
  • Breakout age
• Running back
  • Height
  • Draft position
  • BMI
• Wide receiver
  • Draft position
  • Breakout age
  • College dominator
• Tight end
  • Draft position
  • Weight
  • Height

I was very surprised by the results. For all the commotion revolving around the NFL combine, none of the drill results were found to be statistically significant at any position. Although, I think it is safe to assume that the “draft position” variable contains a lot of relevant NFL combine information. It includes everything that NFL scouts and GMs take into account when deciding which pick to use on a player. This could include combine/pro day measurements, college production, attitude, scheme fit, etc.

Predicting Success

Each position has its own cut-off for predicting success. Prospects with a score above that number are predicted to fulfill the success requirement and those with a score below that number are not. The cut-offs for each position are as follows:

• Quarterback – 0.420
• Running back – 0.500
• Wide receiver – 0.450
• Tight end – 0.430

Accuracy

The accuracy of the model at each position is as follows:

• Quarterback – 77.3%
• Running back – 76.6%
• Wide receiver – 76.1%
• Tight end – 75.7%

Using the Model

While I believe that these regression models provide valuable insight into the prospects at each position, they should not be used as the sole method of player evaluation. I use the PREDATOR score as a tiebreaker when evaluating prospects. If I have two players in the same tier, the PREDATOR score is a great way to separate them and give preference to the prospect who wins the statistical analysis component.

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