Dynasty 101

Justin Herbert

2020 Rookie Profile

School: Oregon
Year: Senior
Date of Birth: 03/10/1998
Drafted: Round 1, Pick 6 (6)
Team: Los Angeles Chargers

College Stats

Metrics and Measurables

Measurables(Percentile)
Height6’6″ (95th)
Weight236 lbs (90th)
Wingspan78 7/8″
Arm Length32 7/8″ (75th)
Hand Size10″ (80th)
40-Yard Dash4.68s (78th)
Vertical Jump35 1/2″ (89th)
Broad Jump123″ (94th)
3-Cone Drill7.06s (60th)
20-Yard Shuttle4.46s (24th)

Metrics(Percentile)
Burst Score123.6 (91st)
Agility Score11.52 (48th)
Throw Velocity55 mph (51st)
Wonderlic Score25 (26th)
College QBR77.4 (63rd)
Breakout Age18.5 (99th)
SPARQ121 (92nd)

PREDATOR Score

0.753 (1st among 2020 QBs)

For detailed information about the PREDATOR Score methodology, check out this article.


Injury Risk

Moderate

  • Right leg fracture (surgery)—2014
  • Left clavicle fracture—2017
  • Concussion—2018
  • Right shoulder bruise—2018

For detailed information about our Injury Risk designations, check out this article.


Player Analysis

The Good

  • Prototypical size with a strong arm
  • Can scramble and is decently accurate passing on the run
  • Very good going through progressions and reading defenses
  • Moves around pocket well to create better throwing windows
  • Accurate on most short and intermediate passes
  • Poised when pressured and willing to take a hit to give play extra time to develop

The Bad

  • Fair amount of passes knocked down for someone his height
  • Slower release
  • Sometimes tries to rush throws causing his mechanics to fail
  • Often overthrows receivers on deep passes
  • Seems to lose concentration at times, loses accuracy

Overall Assessment

PRE-DRAFT: Herbert has the arm talent, size, and enough mobility to end up being the best quarterback in this class.  At times, he can make every throw expected of him. He does struggle putting touch on some passes, but that may be due to some concentration issues.  Herbert is a player that I am looking to add to my 1QB teams in the late 2nd or early 3rd and will expect to have to draft him in the middle of the 1st in Superflex.  If he ends up in a good situation, I can see someone get excited and take him at 1.02 in Superflex rookie drafts.

POST-DRAFT: Herbert was selected at the sixth pick of the first round by the Los Angeles Chargers.  The Chargers are a good team that can end up in the playoffs.  If Herbert doesn’t win the job in camp, he may have to wait to get his chance to start this season.  This is a great situation for him to be in and seems like a deal if you can get him in the second half of the first round in superflex rookie drafts. In 1QB, anywhere in the third round is a good place for him.

Player Comparison: Daniel Jones

Rankings

PRE-DRAFT:

  • Consensus Overall (1QB): 31.0
  • Consensus Overall (SF): 8.8
  • Consensus Overall (NPLB): 9.5
  • Consensus QB: 3.2
  • Analyst QB: 3

POST-DRAFT:

  • Consensus Overall (1QB): 29.0
  • Consensus Overall (SF): 9.8
  • Consensus Overall (NPLB): 10.0
  • Consensus QB: 3.0
  • Analyst QB: 3

NFL Profile

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